Some swing voters go wild over Biden

Some Trump-to-Biden voters are showing early signs of President Biden’s embitterment despite his big win with a $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure package in the Senate.

Why is this important: Democrats are counting on Biden’s brand of governance and handling of COVID-19 and the economy to save them in next year’s midterm elections.

  • Every president’s honeymoon eventually ends.
  • What to watch is whether these results amount to an asterisk or reflect a growing trend that should concern the White House.

Driving the news: Two of the 13 men and women in the latest Engagious/Schlesinger focus groups, conducted online Tuesday night, said they would vote for Donald Trump if they could in their 2020 election ballot.

  • Three expressed reservations about Biden’s political achievements.
  • Participants live in swing states and voted for Trump in 2016 and then Biden in 2020.
  • Although a focus group is not a statistically significant sample like a poll, the responses show how some voters in crucial states think and talk about current events.

What they say : Those who want more from Biden have raised concerns about everything from U.S.-Mexico border security to their general perceptions of his lack of assertiveness to acknowledging they are confused by the noise and misinformation.

  • “He’s not changing his policies like he said at the start,” said Shannon F. of Pennsylvania. “Trump has done more each time he’s been in office.”
  • “My concern, I think, is more now trying to filter the facts from the rumors,” said Ann B. of Arizona.

What we are looking at: Most panel members said they thought Trump’s influence was waning – although 12 of 13 said they still expected him to run again and 10 of 13 voters said that always sets the tone for the Republican Party.

  • Ten of the 13 said Trump’s endorsements would not affect their own votes for next year’s midterm candidates.

The bottom line: “Former President Trump doesn’t have a lot of influence over the voters he won in 2016 and then lost in 2020,” said Rich Thau, president of Engagious, which moderated the focus groups.

  • “From what we’ve heard this month, he’s unlikely to ever get much back.”
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